TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ff1…e65c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Olympics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT14639.7%58 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$19.61
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64.05
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$52.71
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.04
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.21
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.79
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.77
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.29
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$60.92
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.35
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$74.23
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$58.8
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.74
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$40.5
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT11055.5%61 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.4
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.8
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$86.4
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.6
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$46.2
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.6
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+73%+$15.27
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+60.4%+$21.27
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friarsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Navy Midshipmen vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.6%+$37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.