TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No35c12,731$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,334.4827837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes66c3,616$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.3623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes43c2,636$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.693528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c2,470$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.763,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c2,042$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c1,507$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes48c1,387$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5614761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes66c1,379$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.052227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes66c1,154$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.0497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c997.72$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.061,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes55c986.04$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.1958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.055326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes65c961.54$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6259854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes66c921.8$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.392934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes34c810.74$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3522946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked No50c636.94$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes57c598.52$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No33c581.7$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.74837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes62c472.91$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes65c461.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.997149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes67c437.18$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes67c437.18$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.863461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes67c437.18$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8614151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No62c410.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes49c398.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c398.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1213518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes67c359$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.533339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes40c358.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes48c345.39$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes61c310.09$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.821,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…4286backed Yes67c300.85$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No33c300$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes6c281.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9341339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No42c279.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.039357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No44c217.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8810853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes65c208.48$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No32c194.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.584548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xace5…f100backed Yes45c189.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes47c182.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.597644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes66c177.19$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.943151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes67c175.56$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.623844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No56c174.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.453050%15 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c168.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No34c159$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.949848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes39c152.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0210054%54 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked No34c143.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes69c128.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.33432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No38c125.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.316100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes69c120.25$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes51c117.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes50c106.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes37c103.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.496124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked No33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Yes59c99.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes68c98.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6910757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes66c96.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c86.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x795a…2befbacked Yes67c82.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…a4aabacked Yes23c73.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Yes67c73.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No67c72.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes42c72.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8236051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No51c72.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.923842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes65c70.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.693622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes68c68.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No33c66.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.126642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes48c65.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.442030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c65.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c64.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7166backed Yes67c63.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No60c63.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6939234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd8e2…e5f3backed Yes55c63.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e65cbacked Yes68c58.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes43c58.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes18c57.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No45c54.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.964445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes65c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.151,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No31c44.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes26c43.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes68c42.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No33c41.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.577456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes66c39.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8610754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No33c38.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7230444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c36.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes67c36.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes66c36.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.956847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7616853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes66c30.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0413046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5816656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Yes65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes67c29.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d2e…f022backed No62c29.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes67c28.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.