Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d4f60fc86bb5a0414eb3ec7a99b2aa4a81f92b33ef2f929357353a4f67b842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 16c | 15,864$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.17 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 1,636$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 22c | 1,030$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 16c | 934.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 19c | 508.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 19c | 488.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 17c | 390.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 377.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 11c | 351.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 338.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 255.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 15c | 253.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 18c | 242.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 16c | 205.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…5d6ebacked Yes | 14c | 203.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 14c | 202.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 10c | 188.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 18c | 154.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 16c | 144.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4042backed Yes | 18c | 129.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 120.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Yes | 19c | 120.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 117.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 113.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 109.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 14c | 107.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 90.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 15c | 77.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 65.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…9fa2backed No | 79c | 59.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 19c | 58.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 53.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 47.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 78c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 77c | 29.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed No | 79c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 80c | 15.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.