Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a40ebd12618de54edd8c0d0451b345fa3a438ea1f6dddb006548b923e4c96c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 5c | 1,139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 1,023$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 903.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.33 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 47c | 756.14$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 727.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 469.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.44 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 397.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed No | 11c | 378.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 358.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 289.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 47c | 266.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 243.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 18c | 202.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 192.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 53c | 186.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 57c | 171.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 161.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 20c | 144.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 71c | 130.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 50c | 128.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 79c | 125.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 51c | 122.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 114.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 80c | 110.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 37c | 105.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 25c | 85.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Yes | 75c | 79.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 78.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 19c | 75.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 73.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 76c | 69.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…ef1abacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 31c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 40c | 47.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 36c | 43.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 67c | 43.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…1ba2backed Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Yes | 35c | 35.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 38c | 30.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed No | 44c | 28.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 62c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 74c | 15.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…2c68backed Yes | 76c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.