Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910d63c58ef21a74ea86d94c2cd81ae10e9f88a2b6c5c849528625a8ba219404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mertensof Mertens, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Navarro | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.05 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mertens | 58c | 6,094$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.39 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navarro | 18c | 5,008$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mertens | 57c | 4,700$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.85 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mertens | 78c | 4,534$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Mertens | 67c | 4,489$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.9 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…7ae9backed Navarro | 44c | 4,258$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Navarro | 11c | 2,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mertens | 64c | 2,197$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.65 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mertens | 76c | 2,084$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Navarro | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Navarro | 43c | 1,997$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Navarro | 4c | 1,799$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Mertens | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Navarro | 43c | 1,673$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mertens | 79c | 1,571$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.69 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Navarro | 12c | 1,470$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Navarro | 43c | 1,437$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Navarro | 1c | 1,327$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Navarro | 44c | 1,326$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.4 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mertens | 65c | 1,291$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Navarro | 1c | 1,227$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mertens | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Navarro | 43c | 1,191$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mertens | 56c | 1,065$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Navarro | 37c | 1,000$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Navarro | 44c | 854.55$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Mertens | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Navarro | 42c | 794$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…c71dbacked Navarro | 1c | 773.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Navarro | 42c | 760$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Navarro | 42c | 753.63$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…27ffbacked Mertens | 76c | 719.74$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Navarro | 43c | 689.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Navarro | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Navarro | 8c | 614.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Navarro | 21c | 613.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Navarro | 19c | 606.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Navarro | 10c | 526.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Navarro | 46c | 482.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Mertens | 57c | 479.79$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mertens | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Navarro | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mertens | 57c | 410$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Navarro | 14c | 410$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Navarro | 14c | 394.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Navarro | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Navarro | 22c | 340.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Navarro | 43c | 329.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Navarro | 44c | 326.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Navarro | 24c | 310.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Navarro | 16c | 296.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Navarro | 11c | 274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Navarro | 39c | 272.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Mertens | 58c | 257.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Navarro | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Navarro | 43c | 233.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Navarro | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Navarro | 30c | 216.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Navarro | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Navarro | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Navarro | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Mertens | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Mertens | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Mertens | 64c | 199.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mertens | 56c | 195.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Navarro | 44c | 180.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Mertens | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mertens | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Navarro | 23c | 157$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Navarro | 8c | 136.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Navarro | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Navarro | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mertens | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Navarro | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mertens | 75c | 124.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Navarro | 42c | 118.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mertens | 57c | 113.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Navarro | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7a91backed Navarro | 14c | 99.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Navarro | 42c | 96.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Mertens | 78c | 96.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Mertens | 68c | 92.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…b344backed Mertens | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mertens | 58c | 86.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Navarro | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Mertens | 69c | 72.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Navarro | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Mertens | 79c | 69.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mertens | 74c | 69.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Mertens | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mertens | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Navarro | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Navarro | 35c | 65.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mertens | 66c | 60.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Mertens | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mertens | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Mertens | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mertens | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarrothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs NavarroMertens won
- Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)Mertens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.