TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mertensof Mertens, Navarro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fa9…c100backed Navarro42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.0543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mertens58c6,094$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.397147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Navarro18c5,008$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.672,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mertens57c4,700$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.851,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mertens78c4,534$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Mertens67c4,489$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.930241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a1…7ae9backed Navarro44c4,258$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Navarro11c2,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25266831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mertens64c2,197$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.652,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mertens76c2,084$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.127,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Navarro15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Navarro43c1,997$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.5812147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Navarro4c1,799$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9712722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mertens58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Navarro43c1,673$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Mertens79c1,571$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6952037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c6b…e258backed Navarro12c1,470$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.431315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Navarro43c1,437$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.938133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Navarro1c1,327$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Navarro44c1,326$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mertens65c1,291$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.212,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Navarro1c1,227$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mertens57c1,196$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Navarro43c1,191$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.031,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mertens56c1,065$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.711,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Navarro37c1,000$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.726541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Navarro44c854.55$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3728143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Mertens57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3447934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Navarro42c794$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4818439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…c71dbacked Navarro1c773.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Navarro42c760$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.211843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Navarro42c753.63$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd928…27ffbacked Mertens76c719.74$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.741070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Navarro43c689.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012739.4%50 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Navarro15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Navarro8c614.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Navarro21c613.14$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7646553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Navarro19c606.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.279040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Navarro10c526.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.981,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Navarro46c482.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Mertens57c479.79$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3149632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Mertens57c456.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1443448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Navarro43c418.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mertens57c410$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.333241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Navarro14c410$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Navarro14c394.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.175228.8%15 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Navarro40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Navarro22c340.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Navarro43c329.63$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7430744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Navarro44c326.68$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7417432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Navarro24c310.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Navarro16c296.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.382,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Navarro11c274$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.141,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Navarro39c272.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.644946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Mertens58c257.14$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Navarro41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Navarro43c233.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Navarro43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010728%30 W · 77 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Navarro30c216.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6524826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Navarro10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Navarro42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Navarro38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.457644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Mertens58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Mertens58c199.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Mertens64c199.94$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9426462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mertens56c195.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.947,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Navarro44c180.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3518957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Mertens57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4468350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mertens60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6765558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Navarro23c157$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Navarro8c136.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.294599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Navarro44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Navarro15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Mertens79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5852460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Navarro16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mertens75c124.11$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Navarro42c118.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mertens57c113.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.077,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Navarro42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeba…7a91backed Navarro14c99.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Navarro42c96.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Mertens78c96.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9530530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Mertens68c92.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.365745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed Mertens56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mertens58c86.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Navarro20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Mertens69c72.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3674961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Navarro41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.795742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Mertens79c69.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4430254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mertens74c69.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.337,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Mertens58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mertens61c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000d…9664backed Navarro43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Navarro35c65.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mertens66c60.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.523,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Mertens63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Mertens58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.229661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Mertens77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4421655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Mertens60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.