Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7459c99cac520dc6d374babdc39ff6142979dc75eab9056c3ce431121a5b4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 0c | 12,141$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 4,198$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.67 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 60c | 4,024$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673c…d452backed No | 40c | 3,725$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 3,637$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked No | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 33c | 1,880$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.53 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 2c | 1,783$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 67c | 1,756$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 1,667$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.29 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 37c | 1,607$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 1,594$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 71c | 1,199$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,137$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed No | 1c | 1,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 1,006$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 54c | 960.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.34 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 889.35$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.65 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 35c | 773.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 38c | 760.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 706.96$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Yes | 33c | 682.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 41c | 666$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 33c | 650$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 33c | 636.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 51c | 580.46$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Yes | 35c | 547.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 70c | 541.58$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 63c | 539.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 517.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed No | 34c | 469.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 469.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 431.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 430.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 75c | 399.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 78c | 393.04$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 375.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 36c | 350.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 21c | 347$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 65c | 299.72$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 244.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 242.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 67c | 241.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 239.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 48c | 230.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 225.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 67c | 210.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 43c | 197.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 179.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 10c | 174.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 44c | 164.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 39c | 161.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 63c | 139.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 34c | 125.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…8665backed Yes | 67c | 118.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Yes | 59c | 113.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 111.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 109.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 50c | 97.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 56c | 95.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…5ff3backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +222%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 67c | 89.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 67c | 87.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 63c | 84.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 83.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 67c | 81.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 80.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 44c | 79.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 67c | 77.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 77.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed No | 34c | 76.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 67c | 72.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 46c | 71.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 53c | 70.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked No | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 68.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 48c | 66.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 63c | 61.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 64c | 61.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 64c | 61.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Yes | 64c | 61.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 64c | 61.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Yes | 52c | 58.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.