NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8718e9f01fdeac1f59a56f02bd93a204bedc454649d0941d91007ec14961fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Bruins, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,196,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,353,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Lightning | 54c | 231,704$124,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,155.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Bruins | 39c | 218,652$85,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,729.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Bruins | 68c | 148,860$100,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,808.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Lightning | 61c | 134,833$82,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,585.03 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Bruins | 38c | 87,286$33,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,250.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lightning | 61c | 75,000$45,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,250 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bruins | 38c | 67,000$25,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,460 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 62c | 45,369$28,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,240.21 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 56c | 32,861$18,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,469.58 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 39c | 24,803$9,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,681.83 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 60c | 24,725$14,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 60c | 23,881$14,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,552.24 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 39c | 18,200$7,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed Lightning | 62c | 13,249$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bruins | 47c | 13,169$6,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.63 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Bruins | 68c | 13,157$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.76 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Lightning | 60c | 13,060$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.88 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lightning | 60c | 12,212$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Lightning | 33c | 11,642$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.73 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 62c | 10,532$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Bruins | 66c | 10,140$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bruins | 48c | 9,506$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.9 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 60c | 9,355$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.79 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Bruins | 66c | 9,250$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 32c | 8,059$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…b330backed Lightning | 62c | 6,704$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bruins | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 39c | 5,039$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Bruins | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lightning | 60c | 4,965$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Bruins | 67c | 4,700$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Bruins | 43c | 4,604$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 45c | 4,249$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 63c | 4,004$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.62 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lightning | 60c | 3,208$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.09 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Bruins | 67c | 3,150$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.38 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed Lightning | 70c | 3,140$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bruins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Bruins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,833$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.34 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Lightning | 62c | 2,629$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.02 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,351$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bruins | 40c | 2,316$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.23 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 61c | 2,093$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.72 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 46c | 2,047$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lightning | 60c | 2,045$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.8 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lightning | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Bruins | 68c | 1,890$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Lightning | 35c | 1,717$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 57c | 1,630$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.13 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 56c | 1,593$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.81 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,506$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.02 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Bruins | 38c | 1,476$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Bruins | 40c | 1,471$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Lightning | 47c | 1,386$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bruins | 39c | 1,284$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Bruins | 29c | 1,280$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Bruins | 44c | 1,233$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Bruins | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,225$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bruins | 42c | 1,140$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bruins | 42c | 1,134$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 36c | 1,098$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 61c | 1,090$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.62 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Lightning | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Bruins | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…2a05backed Lightning | 63c | 992.76$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bruins | 43c | 975.78$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.93 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Bruins | 40c | 951.39$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bruins | 67c | 944.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 60c | 927$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.38 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Bruins | 31c | 926$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.51 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Bruins | 34c | 906.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…cad0backed Lightning | 61c | 890.97$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bruins | 39c | 887.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bruins | 40c | 879.56$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.45 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Lightning | 42c | 853$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bruins | 40c | 830.49$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Lightning | 62c | 794.52$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Bruins | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lightning | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Lightning | 40c | 747.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.89 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Bruins | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Lightning | 55c | 610.77$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bruins | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Bruins | 40c | 599.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bruins | 37c | 599.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Bruins | 63c | 595.3$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Bruins | 61c | 590.45$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.1 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Lightningthis page
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.