TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204e…8d08backed Yes0c23,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95520%1 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick0cpaid+9,900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c8,610$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.6823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes60c6,207$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.319649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c4,379$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.443,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c4,307$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.041,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No41c3,978$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.7627837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c2,939$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1941339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes5c2,812$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c2,365$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.7297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No44c1,833$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.6815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c1,827$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No40c1,667$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No51c1,419$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.3927058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes51c1,213$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes62c1,182$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c1,088$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes62c937.1$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes62c852.92$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.811947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c821.17$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c782$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.564548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No38c521.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No42c479.95$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3726050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c337.59$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No52c326.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.91825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No39c319.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No48c273$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9410319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No42c259$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No60c256.41$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.820660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No40c252$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.059652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.910853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes45c231.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes15c215$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c213.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No67c209.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.185259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No74c202.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.627962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…47e7backed Yes60c201.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No52c185.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.121225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c183.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Yes59c177.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No52c174.97$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9924859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes50c154.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c147.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Yes63c141.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes40c140.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c132$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5819255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes58c124.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c112.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No49c110.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4220535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No41c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c106$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.721,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No38c104$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.384447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No38c97.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6612146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed No52c95.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.873056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No38c93.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No42c89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6211563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed No41c88.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No39c88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.789245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c87.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No75c84.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4415676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes55c83.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed No51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No38c74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.888760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No40c71.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.336555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No40c67.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.536642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes59c67.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Yes60c66.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+118.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No64c61.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19c6…42a6backed No40c61.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No41c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e65cbacked Yes62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No38c57.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes62c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No80c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2639234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes58c49.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes58c48.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.336443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No39c46.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.295257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…4169backed Yes61c42.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes54c36.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202080%16 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.