TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No74c19,014$14,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,013.443,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Yes25c12,056$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,071.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c8,914$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,206.3223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c7,225$5,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.2277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c4,429$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.8647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes19c3,871$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.427837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c3,257$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.3999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes80c2,839$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+156.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes33c2,743$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.5314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes18c2,716$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.161947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes68c2,660$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.088560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes19c1,866$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.291540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No63c1,668$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.0841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No24c1,167$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0522946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No27c1,109$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.455547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+271.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.635042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Yes20c1,017$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c817$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.811,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes64c777.33$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3219960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes74c777.33$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1420660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes71c686.14$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5316856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No19c617.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No80c613.83$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.48825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes19c599.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes22c527.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.271040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes49c526.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4215458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39010319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No23c461.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes70c458$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.242030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes69c436.54$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.322560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c430.21$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No9c425$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No9c419.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No46c360.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.925259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes19c360$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes57c352.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.995232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes20c352.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.686124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes59c333.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.342365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c326.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No79c324.13$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.258041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No56c317$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7120252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes70c289.89$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed No14c286.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No39c277.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9223548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No79c250$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5139234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.124326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No72c201$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c193.01$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c192$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No80c171.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.825156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes19c150$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.56642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No50c149.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Yes19c149.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+313.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c149$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7327058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No69c147.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.965448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No38c144.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0710249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes33c139.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes19c131.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+131.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No79c126.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed No79c126.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c120.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc965…5ff3backed Yes19c110.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.535100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+222%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Yes19c104.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes20c100.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.455362.3%33 W · 20 L+12.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+83%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x06d9…5d6ebacked Yes20c99.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.98728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c89.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2728721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes20c82.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.811540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No80c82.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8124351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes17c81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2311441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes19c73.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4719172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No79c63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.774369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes19c61.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.725928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes19c60.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed No80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes60c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.89965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes57c56.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c55.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5624920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes50c52.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.266746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb2…6fa5backed Yes22c52.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+362.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+121.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes69c47.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.814355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No79c30.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.983661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Yes80c28.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.781872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes67c27.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No78c24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.723345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Yes79c19.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.052343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed No80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1c…5650backed No80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.