TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c1c…5650

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1485.7%12 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick80cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.