TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$546,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes39c273,216$106,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,379.7615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No62c139,625$86,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,261.495100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes37c107,336$39,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,641.049649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No63c95,178$59,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,554.1113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c44,179$26,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,540.797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes39c38,000$14,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,820633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c21,048$12,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,218.653,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No60c20,900$12,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3062166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No63c13,607$8,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No60c9,766$5,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c8,216$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.115458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No62c8,071$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.418563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked No62c8,064$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c7,000$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.0926345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No64c7,000$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes40c6,570$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6281631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No59c5,043$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.175056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c4,382$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.7519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c4,166$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.9612254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No62c4,047$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No59c3,484$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.4810655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c3,250$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0e…718cbacked No61c2,876$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No60c2,871$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.0141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.992751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No61c2,313$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.051050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c2,022$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.1821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c1,792$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.181,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.297949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c1,583$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.6647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No59c1,502$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.0123548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No62c1,464$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No61c1,453$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c1,414$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.0391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No61c1,355$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7242947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No62c1,336$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.615250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes36c1,333$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No60c1,204$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea57…e1debacked Yes39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No61c1,110$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.075851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No58c1,089$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Yes30c967$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+262.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c896.34$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6423643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c890.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c890.09$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c858$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.623056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No59c840.74$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.779250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c814.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.669458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No62c812.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.859452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No59c807$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.874949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No62c806.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.894959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No62c806.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.575856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes35c800$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Yes39c777.27$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c723.42$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Yes17c718.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No61c676.23$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes37c676.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0112146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No59c671.25$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes36c661.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes40c603.81$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.529854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No59c599.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.995156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c587.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed No62c537$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes40c505$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.059652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c497.61$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No62c439.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.232646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c438$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No59c423.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.846752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa89…9970backed Yes7c412.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes38c386.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2810755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No60c362.71$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.682254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes22c358.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.123834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No59c332.27$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.35160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No59c325$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1339957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No62c323.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.022263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Yes39c285.25$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No62c284.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.543060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No59c284.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+68.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9422…2075backed No64c273$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No59c240.71$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7612254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No59c239.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4619255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa95…e54dbacked Yes10c197.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987d…1153backed Yes43c196.53$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No60c177.72$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.166248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No60c165.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7524859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No62c161.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.736454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.