TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed No68c2,392$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.2723858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No4c2,305$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9541339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes29c2,264$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c2,005$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No67c1,778$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.7513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c1,522$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.159050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No37c1,452$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2118967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes80c1,201$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c1,093$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea57…e1debacked Yes73c1,062$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65010243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No66c999.98$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Yes33c999.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes35c942.86$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes59c895.5$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c799.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes47c799.91$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.591225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No66c767.76$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.729854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes39c671.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.583923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c558.45$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes34c556.7$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No14c538.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes61c493.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.521866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes65c489.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c472.92$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c454.82$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No35c450$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes33c447.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30242947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes58c418.07$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed No40c404.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c372.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.993,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No43c343.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0615458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No34c335.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes35c330.91$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+75.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No48c323.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No46c314.52$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.034959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No39c311.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes31c291$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No48c253.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.279250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No46c246.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No17c232.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9120535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes31c222$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.185056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c222$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c221.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c209.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No67c204.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.766752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes32c198.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.42646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No14c186.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.075250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No14c182.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.575856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No14c176.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7112254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No14c176.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No14c172.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2124859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No14c172.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.219458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No14c172.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No49c169.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.179437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes30c155$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes78c151.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c146.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes35c142.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.932142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes65c136$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.63452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No67c135.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.743345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No20c125.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.126454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No20c125.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4719255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No65c124.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No40c119$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes61c95.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.082556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes32c94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.928552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No23c92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No30c88.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3214549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No67c88.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No35c83.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae42…d956backed Yes64c78.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No65c74.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.058568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No67c70.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.75255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No23c64.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes34c63.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.018454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No72c61.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.114254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed No49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.14959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes31c57.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.753542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes31c57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.446642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes33c56.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No37c54.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7229…05dcbacked Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No42c52.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3219052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No69c52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.883847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c46.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No67c45.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.278652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.