TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed No72c12,021$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.662070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c11,111$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.071926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No72c5,196$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.8823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c3,980$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c3,234$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c2,744$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c2,570$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.3523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c1,601$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.262755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c1,307$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes28c1,216$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,097$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.573,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c1,066$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.14966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c1,038$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c983.69$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2861526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c966$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.141,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c824.46$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.344047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes30c661.25$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes30c660.13$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0460%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes29c599.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.849957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c598.65$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes29c562.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes29c433$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.913834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c344.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0215458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No74c303.86$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.085250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No74c289.79$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4212254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c282.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No72c278.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No74c271.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No73c254.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.036752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes30c254.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c252.93$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c249.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No74c228.8$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.069250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Yes30c228.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c224.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No74c210.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2414151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes31c197$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0711441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No74c193.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.959458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…1153backed Yes30c190.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes8c182.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3720535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No69c178$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1810353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes17c173.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.717753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No79c164.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8519052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c155$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7526346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Yes27c155$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No73c154.05$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No76c150.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.524959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Yes29c137.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9924859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No73c133$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c114.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Yes30c96.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No72c85.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0110755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.437249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No76c74.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.765160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c70.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No69c67.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed Yes28c63.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes30c57.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes23c53.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Yes30c41.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed No71c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.026100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No71c36.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.686264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No76c36.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7387…ccf1backed Yes31c35.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No76c34.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.293345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed No76c34.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.292263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.255757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No75c32.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c31.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No73c27.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No77c21.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4847…e064backed No70c19.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.899652.1%50 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No72c16.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.76958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed No73c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.