TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes39c4,722$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes36c3,810$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.0987645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No56c3,542$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.772,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c3,448$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.355,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes47c3,074$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes18c2,778$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.234934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No75c2,120$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4524247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes19c2,074$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c1,643$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.71,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes23c1,498$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.543531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No71c1,467$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7714646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes46c1,380$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.332263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes36c1,143$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.256460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes20c1,109$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.723842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes41c777.04$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0919340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes24c735.32$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23148768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed No67c697.01$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No58c642.34$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6211762.4%73 W · 44 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No64c523.34$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.47761%47 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes18c505.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.596642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c439.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.91,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes28c399.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128625.6%22 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes20c378.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.876341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes21c320.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.36349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes29c263.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7326136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes43c253.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.874429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c249.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.021,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes45c247.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.673633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c242.01$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.882,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No58c236.02$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.922661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No77c199.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked No80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes20c181.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.313956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee9…ff13backed Yes49c171.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No55c166.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0821474.3%159 W · 55 L+44.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes48c166.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.151070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Yes20c166.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.093948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes11c164.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes20c155.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.621,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes36c151$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1815240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c116.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.572,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c115$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.011,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No67c112.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7372044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c97.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3592235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked No53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.238341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820056.5%113 W · 87 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed No79c87.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb057…d122backed Yes49c83.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No58c83.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9515826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed No53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.135844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes51c79.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes20c78.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6815352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes43c74.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8810849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes20c73.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9111145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes51c67.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No76c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No76c58.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes47c56.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1034…dc22backed Yes24c53.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed No78c51.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Yes21c50.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.673554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No72c50.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9258243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532154.2%174 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd102…42c8backed No56c46.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes32c45.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3873538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Yes45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked No57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No79c40.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Yes46c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.512326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51681.3%13 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick77cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…7d37backed Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…87c7backed No58c34.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x308f…8607backed No79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No77c29.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.949851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No79c26.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4514744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5613949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580b…9535backed No59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed No75c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.058265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1c…5650backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.