Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0292da2904ea8f387918bea049d5184c838623037116bf3331b14951e5d68d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 14,567$7,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.36 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 8,021$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.36 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 4,898$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.27 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,937$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.39 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 1,529$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 1,467$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.28 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 24c | 1,405$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.77 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,208$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 22c | 1,109$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,104$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.34 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 55c | 910.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 38c | 627.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 33c | 610.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 493$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 493$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 492.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.03 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 31c | 479.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 77c | 428.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 47c | 428.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.49 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 51c | 423.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 76c | 391$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 45c | 265.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 211.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 204.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 196.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 25c | 192$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 47c | 186$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 32c | 154.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…334ebacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 24c | 145.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…c57dbacked Yes | 49c | 142.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 140.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 34c | 140.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 135.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 98.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 55c | 96.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 94.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 56c | 93.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 24c | 79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…e090backed Yes | 53c | 77.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 54c | 74.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 68c | 69.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…8527backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…d122backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 27c | 48.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…004bbacked Yes | 27c | 45.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 23c | 44.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 34c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…e40abacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 30.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…4307backed Yes | 48c | 27.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 77c | 24.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 23.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 66c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 72c | 16.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.