Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e7e62194e688ce4051928a3afd9d1e12e5b7c0d18d9b4c8432627f4516ee53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 37c | 9,023$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.26 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 4,163$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.23 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,539$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.02 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 2,945$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.65 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 37c | 2,105$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,652$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,054$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 988.24$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.9 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 813.47$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 616.45$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 583.86$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 63c | 314.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 275$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 272.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 249.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 249.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 249.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 63c | 225$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 222.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 63c | 203.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 194.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 69c | 184.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 163$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 159.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 147.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 37c | 74.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…e65cbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 34c | 40.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Yes | 38c | 39.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 66c | 31.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 64c | 27.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked No | 64c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.