Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb28d93308d5e034a5a21d7df3ffc7b0ceeade3cf83b2fb3001f9156dd381c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 2,796$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.9 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 2,362$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.01 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,278$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.82 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 62c | 1,856$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.17 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 1,568$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.77 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,528$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,071$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.72 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 980.2$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.73 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 33c | 945.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…412abacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 28c | 801.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 31c | 701.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 33c | 652.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.17 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 564.31$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 32c | 484.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 55c | 378.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 46c | 359.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 45c | 345.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 32c | 298.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 297.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 294.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 67c | 255.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 204.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 185.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 27c | 178.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 143.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 26c | 139.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked No | 8c | 129.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 115.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 112.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 63c | 107.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 105.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 38c | 101.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 100.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 67c | 99.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 46c | 78.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 55c | 75.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 66.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 66c | 66.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 61.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…e65cbacked No | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 73c | 54.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 48.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 68c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 37c | 40.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 39.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed No | 49c | 38.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked No | 66c | 38.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 37.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 63c | 36.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 32c | 35.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 63c | 30.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked No | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Yes | 66c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 67c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 54c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Yes | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.