TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes43c88,279$37,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,959.989649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No57c39,445$22,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,961.523858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a44…9cc6backed No57c6,930$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c6,235$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68117258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c3,878$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.031,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c3,744$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.213,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No57c3,507$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.0612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked No59c3,413$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No57c3,319$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.214949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No57c2,936$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.7211854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c2,338$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.3715858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No57c2,046$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.712661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c1,914$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c1,398$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes8c1,228$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.266222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c1,157$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.831,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Yes42c1,010$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.918547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c909.07$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c791.01$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes41c750.66$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c701.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6115060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c695.48$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes40c639.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No57c584.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3413158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c584.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3416960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c584.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c512.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4710450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12029370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes18c475.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9858043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c467.62$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0714459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No57c467.62$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0711759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No57c467.62$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0712162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c449.11$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No57c395.25$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c395.25$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No57c389.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3913518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.973043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No57c295.88$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c292.26$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6714459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes20c242.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2310753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No57c233.81$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes16c199.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No59c199.16$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6610757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes15c196.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.466124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No57c190.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7510755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No57c181.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1112254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No57c175.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No57c155.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0215259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes15c143.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c123.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No57c116.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2713560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes41c112.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Yes13c109.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No59c106.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No57c106.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6612849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c98.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.555133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c87.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.713557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes20c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No67c58.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5216656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No57c57.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9139234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No59c54.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No57c54.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.465851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No77c52.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2718967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No80c51.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c50.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…17bdbacked No57c47.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c45.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2524920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Yes42c44.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes23c43.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes38c41.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c41.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No60c40.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.247456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Yes41c39.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No57c38.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.714957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes41c35.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No57c34.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed Yes41c33.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c29.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.578653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No57c28.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.186958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes41c25.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.321822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No57c23.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1619255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No57c23.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No57c19.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.366155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed No59c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84077.5%31 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No57c19.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.382857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No57c19.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.388469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No76c19.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.