TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Badosaof Siniakova, Badosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Badosa49c19,045$9,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,751.856552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Badosa70c15,720$10,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.1257249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Badosa51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Siniakova51c9,999$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.4926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Siniakova30c9,647$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.1855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Siniakova49c7,776$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.2438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Siniakova29c6,562$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Badosa72c5,852$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.6835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Siniakova52c5,380$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.5176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Siniakova26c4,862$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.4419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Siniakova28c4,846$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.531,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Siniakova10c4,390$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.722,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siniakova20c4,352$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.461,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Siniakova51c3,697$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.4720043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Badosa49c3,185$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.231,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed Badosa69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9304667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Badosa51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Badosa71c2,821$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Siniakova31c2,811$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.621,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Badosa71c2,713$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.287,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Siniakova23c2,649$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Siniakova28c2,076$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8811417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Badosa49c2,050$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.229146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…ab10backed Badosa76c1,936$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Siniakova28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Siniakova36c1,728$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.186338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Siniakova32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…27ffbacked Badosa71c1,521$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.271070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Badosa49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.981,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Siniakova35c1,447$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Siniakova49c1,279$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.514450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Badosa55c1,272$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3337854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Siniakova49c1,256$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Siniakova23c1,074$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Siniakova40c1,000$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Badosa52c989.75$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Siniakova51c979.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.777,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Badosa75c898.07$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.722,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Siniakova49c828.49$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.821,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Badosa49c814.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.748150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed Badosa75c768$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Siniakova27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16281938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Badosa71c599.7$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9323847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Siniakova31c597.25$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Siniakova51c587.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Siniakova30c575$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.461,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Siniakova16c570.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.351,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Siniakova51c529.41$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Siniakova29c504$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Siniakova32c503.96$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Siniakova31c483.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Siniakova49c476$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2431332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Badosa67c447.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Siniakova34c440.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.833948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Siniakova26c437$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Siniakova23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Siniakova52c432.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Siniakova37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Siniakova30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Badosa73c363.84$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2418863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Badosa64c360.57$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.575040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Badosa50c350.51$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3143042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Badosa73c343$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.251,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Badosa50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Siniakova49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Siniakova31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Badosa49c320.81$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2214949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…65cbbacked Badosa70c315.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Siniakova32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Badosa62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11424060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Badosa51c299.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.526247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Badosa68c291.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.422,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Siniakova28c288.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Badosa76c264.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Siniakova51c260.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0819043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Badosa60c250.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1730750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Badosa63c238$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8860661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Siniakova51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.216743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Siniakova24c211.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Badosa72c210.78$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.962,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Badosa70c205.81$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.744,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Badosa50c200.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3968350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Siniakova25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Siniakova31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Siniakova50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Badosa51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Siniakova51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.981,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Siniakova52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Siniakova52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Badosa69c186.42$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.546,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Siniakova29c172.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1428762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Siniakova39c170$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6224340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Siniakova50c160.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.781,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Siniakova34c158.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5467239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…83c0backed Badosa71c158.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.243354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Siniakova49c157$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Siniakova33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Siniakova35c145.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7846030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Badosa69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9342558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Badosa70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8652460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.