Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8aa494f7781a8daf95093909bc3ba47e5d1763762bab8c425e20f709c2907f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,838$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 2,805$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over | 54c | 1,860$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 722.52$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.21 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 624.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 40c | 593.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 55c | 458.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 32c | 441.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 29c | 424.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 302.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 71c | 283.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 70c | 280.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Over | 77c | 195.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 66c | 97.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…d79fbacked Over | 74c | 81.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 79.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 75c | 79.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…36b2backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 24c | 70.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 63.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 26c | 63.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Over | 76c | 46.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Over | 33c | 33.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 74c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 54c | 27.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…cff4backed Over | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…d133backed Over | 74c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d37cbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.