Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730bc7a974d5c29b4a90c061cbf8396572b8faa62ebbdcfa69130212bc973606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 54c | 622.19$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 592.11$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 278.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 270.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 62c | 195.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 103.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 49.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 41c | 42.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 36.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…e53dbacked Yes | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.