Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4039f0348d081576208442dc7997b478c640b5269814327fd3ad6ee7094f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 28,112$7,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,371.32 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 71c | 15,482$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.85 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 13,636$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.26 | 543 | 49.9%271 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 66c | 12,133$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 11,111$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 71c | 6,982$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,839$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 880 | 44.2%389 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 71c | 1,284$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 29c | 1,172$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,016$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 976$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 730.66$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 673.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 636$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 29c | 634.48$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 31c | 623.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 72c | 600.47$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 26c | 462.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 435.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 325.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 18c | 320$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 285$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed No | 73c | 274.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 71c | 232.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 28c | 214.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 29c | 188.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 186$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 167.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 29c | 160$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 151.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 75c | 139.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 71c | 130.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…b0d8backed Yes | 16c | 104.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 39c | 98.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 96.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 84.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…131fbacked Yes | 29c | 69.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 68.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…7fc7backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 467 | 50.1%234 W · 233 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…8d63backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…3542backed Yes | 27c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 40.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 71c | 30.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed No | 71c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed No | 71c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…cf6cbacked No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.