TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,203,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,412,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084a…fd3dbacked Yes48c678,342$327,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327,535.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No51c133,961$68,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,287.2715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes46c121,135$55,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,721.99159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No52c104,000$54,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,919.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c101,512$53,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,208.641,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No51c79,003$40,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,711.272850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No54c58,500$31,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,9103351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c57,709$30,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,798.2771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c54,662$29,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,434.1552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c47,161$25,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,740.2762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No52c41,802$21,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,064.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c31,139$16,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,973.6287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes46c28,637$13,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,172.974459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No53c25,024$13,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,761.282236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No53c21,026$11,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,882.151478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No52c18,598$9,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,984.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No52c17,184$9,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,168.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No52c15,548$8,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.493148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No54c14,729$7,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,775.334940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No52c12,601$6,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.982540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No52c7,940$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No63c7,920$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.93955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No53c7,908$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.644447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c7,700$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.5831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c7,444$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.785040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No54c7,092$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.564856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes51c6,975$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes46c5,800$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6685156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c4,293$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.553450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No52c4,000$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No52c3,948$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.043050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes46c3,915$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked No60c3,833$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.331392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c2,683$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No52c2,568$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Yes47c2,548$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No52c2,260$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0819055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c1,660$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c1,318$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0814337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5641729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.026141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes47c1,081$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.913259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No53c1,057$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.3629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135a…5315backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No54c1,000$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No52c815.74$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.098942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No55c767.26$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.273729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes49c733.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No53c699$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c672.21$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes46c590.75$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7523151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c545.59$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Yes32c500.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No53c446$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.23740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked No54c376.96$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No53c322.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3814247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked No65c308.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1374151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes22c266.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No54c256.28$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.123053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No52c255$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.43756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No52c248.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.751656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c230.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Yes50c230.3$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c28…ff31backed No64c230$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes35c210$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c204$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Yes36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes36c166.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No56c160.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7013246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Yes47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes47c151$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.422850%14 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Yes46c140.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Yes46c140.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.