TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons78c25,686$20,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,650.9815050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons72c13,120$9,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.733,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked 3DMAX27c11,611$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.221811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX27c9,202$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.7281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX43c7,583$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.41,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons76c5,200$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26346149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX17c5,006$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.241,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed 3DMAX25c4,246$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.3213043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX26c3,827$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x413b…901ebacked 3DMAX34c3,654$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons70c2,683$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.453,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Team Falcons77c2,584$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.4211940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX24c2,248$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a97…6315backed 3DMAX24c2,179$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked 3DMAX39c1,537$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons80c903$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed 3DMAX15c839.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0917548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX14c836.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 3DMAX24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed 3DMAX10c705.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.031838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons77c668.83$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.839364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX33c647$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.211,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked 3DMAX43c601.51$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.988248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 3DMAX11c565.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.982,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX35c489.54$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.721,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX27c469.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.774,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed 3DMAX22c450.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.015147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed 3DMAX26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10435344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons53c393.15$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9817850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons64c383.76$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked 3DMAX22c382.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.829941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons69c379.17$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.964,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons79c362.67$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1617761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons68c353.19$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3345162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed 3DMAX24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Team Falcons71c332.84$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.539260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Falcons54c314.06$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4711638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed 3DMAX26c303.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed 3DMAX22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6639237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Team Falcons77c258.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.748150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed Team Falcons78c255.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.342955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons73c254.81$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.511,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed 3DMAX24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons75c203.21$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.532,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons69c200.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Team Falcons64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Team Falcons70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed 3DMAX23c188$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2417345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed 3DMAX20c172.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons73c170.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed 3DMAX27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5631731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Team Falcons60c150.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2550043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Team Falcons70c150.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.352572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Team Falcons65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.962538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked 3DMAX24c143.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.414137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb78…e7c8backed 3DMAX28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed 3DMAX53c140.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed 3DMAX22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Team Falcons75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Team Falcons77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8714751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked 3DMAX24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed 3DMAX19c119.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked 3DMAX19c110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0513044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ca…35cabacked Team Falcons73c106.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed 3DMAX14c104.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Team Falcons53c101.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3134547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Team Falcons80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7533456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked 3DMAX22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed 3DMAX32c87.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Falcons65c86.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4431452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed 3DMAX24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX40c76.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX17c75.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f7…f091backed Team Falcons67c73.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed 3DMAX23c71.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.193141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX29c70.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.612,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed 3DMAX36c67.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 3DMAX21c67.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons70c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.121055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Falcons66c65.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2326046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Team Falcons77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9417850.6%90 W · 88 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ea…5db4backed Team Falcons66c63.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0d…e5b9backed Team Falcons68c58.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.832864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed 3DMAX35c56.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6921947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…f425backed Team Falcons74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed 3DMAX37c53.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8830527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed 3DMAX38c52.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bc…ec11backed Team Falcons77c50.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.524365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed 3DMAX20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.510660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed 3DMAX27c45.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.67147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX49c42.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.055,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed 3DMAX24c42.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Team Falcons80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Falcons63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Team Falcons74c34.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0412763%80 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc914…8f10backed Team Falcons72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.