CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707ee4c26d68bd3ccee0d5ae8846522a9b08c1dde04eb9cdbcf53082ee225ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 3DMAX | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 8,093$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.87 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 51c | 4,726$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.67 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed 3DMAX | 49c | 2,142$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.19 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed 3DMAX | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed 3DMAX | 49c | 642.61$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed 3DMAX | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 530.68$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed 3DMAX | 50c | 495.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Falcons | 55c | 346.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 220.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked 3DMAX | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 122.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed 3DMAX | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Team Falcons | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 85.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked 3DMAX | 49c | 72.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Team Falcons | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 3DMAX | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed 3DMAX | 50c | 51.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Team Falcons | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Team Falcons | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 52c | 44.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 41.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…aeecbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 40.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 3DMAX | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed 3DMAX | 44c | 24.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.