Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a2c6f5be23780fbc1198fb5de8454f038c1b7d7623b759c054708a6d7b5ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels | 52c | 14,540$7,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.84 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Disguised | 58c | 6,517$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.64 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Sentinels | 18c | 5,400$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels | 58c | 3,925$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.5 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Disguised | 63c | 3,576$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.94 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 51c | 3,426$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.91 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed Sentinels | 36c | 2,785$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 62c | 2,681$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 49c | 2,544$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.32 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Sentinels | 4c | 2,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 51c | 2,119$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.32 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 42c | 1,524$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.01 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Disguised | 66c | 1,374$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.65 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Disguised | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.03 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Disguised | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.1 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Disguised | 44c | 646.71$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Sentinels | 56c | 623.39$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.1 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Disguised | 43c | 550$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.2 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Disguised | 44c | 528.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Sentinels | 11c | 523$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels | 22c | 428$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Disguised | 45c | 324.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Disguised | 75c | 301.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Disguised | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Sentinels | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Sentinels | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Sentinels | 38c | 292.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels | 22c | 283.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Disguised | 75c | 267.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sentinels | 54c | 258.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Disguised | 47c | 253.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Disguised | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 71c | 211.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Sentinels | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Sentinels | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1a…91d9backed Sentinels | 8c | 161.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Sentinels | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Disguised | 51c | 126$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Sentinels | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Disguised | 45c | 101.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e2…bff1backed Sentinels | 30c | 100.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Disguised | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 56c | 89.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Sentinels | 24c | 88.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Sentinels | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Sentinels | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sentinels | 36c | 74.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Disguised | 46c | 67.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…ca84backed Sentinels | 39c | 67.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Sentinels | 49c | 63.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Sentinels | 34c | 63.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Disguised | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Sentinels | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Disguised | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Sentinels | 55c | 52.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Disguised | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Disguised | 46c | 39.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Disguised | 44c | 37.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 51c | 36.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Sentinels | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Sentinels | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Disguised | 46c | 27.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Sentinels | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Disguised | 74c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Sentinels | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Sentinels | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Disguised | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Sentinels | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 WinnerDisguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 4 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.