TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Sentinels78c28,051$21,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,245.0712664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels59c12,951$7,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,310.0425446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised36c10,868$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.81,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised44c8,240$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.811,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Disguised18c8,184$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44025038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised30c7,999$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.781,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Disguised25c4,524$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.1269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised25c4,463$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.751,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Disguised32c4,430$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.18056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels67c4,005$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3101,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised35c3,810$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.691,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised38c3,723$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.261,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c28…59ffbacked Disguised1c3,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Disguised37c3,251$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.816238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x154d…a748backed Disguised1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Disguised50c2,020$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Sentinels53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels60c1,734$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.291,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Sentinels57c1,698$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1425547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Disguised37c1,414$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1528361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels62c1,300$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.415149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab18…467dbacked Disguised10c985$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.572321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Disguised61c977.32$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels55c949.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.72,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Disguised26c869.22$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22629856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised48c868.33$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.241,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Sentinels58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Disguised39c739.4$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7640651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised43c730.94$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Disguised26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed Sentinels58c695.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Disguised40c687.59$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.352,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Disguised48c628.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Disguised48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Disguised49c561.1$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27426556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Disguised77c533.07$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3844843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Sentinels56c532.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.411,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Disguised45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed Sentinels57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21528350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels45c481.1$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.781,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels57c461$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.582,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised43c456$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7153640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Disguised39c426.87$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3350643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Sentinels55c408.41$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4442148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Sentinels55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Disguised42c384.56$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5114038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised43c337.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.143138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Sentinels79c331.63$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.641361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6350569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba4…42abbacked Sentinels60c300$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.175851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Sentinels69c291.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.336260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Disguised26c289.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Sentinels55c281.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8212450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Disguised40c247.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0431439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Disguised18c230$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.516934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Disguised39c230$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Disguised44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed Disguised29c216.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.026440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Sentinels52c209.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.816354%88 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Disguised53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Disguised50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1228843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Disguised41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Sentinels55c199.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9141347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels62c187.22$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.041,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sentinels61c186$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6745344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Sentinels40c182.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.541,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised41c181$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2148448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Disguised46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Sentinels61c173.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9457947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Sentinels52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.639750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Sentinels72c167.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8948353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Disguised60c166.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Disguised24c165.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Disguised61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Disguised30c151.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Disguised44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6633736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…6586backed Sentinels68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Sentinels38c128.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9547057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Sentinels59c118.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6414132.6%46 W · 95 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Disguised44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Disguised44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Disguised53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6063448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Disguised48c112.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7116451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sentinels67c111$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5743947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Disguised25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Disguised42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4261143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…5403backed Sentinels78c96.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.656561.5%40 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Disguised45c94.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Sentinels54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5932650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e2…bff1backed Sentinels59c87.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.752433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Disguised42c85.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3655744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ee…26babacked Disguised42c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Disguised30c76.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.171,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed Sentinels55c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Sentinels55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.520140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Sentinels59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.898163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels63c67.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1863352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7386…b1debacked Disguised37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sentinels61c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.