TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels61c20,913$12,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,783.925446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised63c11,238$7,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.481,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Disguised29c7,671$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,425.971,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised32c7,582$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.311,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Sentinels38c7,268$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.6425038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels52c7,122$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.5569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Sentinels74c5,979$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.345860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Sentinels61c4,957$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.0166437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised40c4,717$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.221,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Disguised37c4,094$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.71,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised32c4,000$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.171,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Disguised39c3,944$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.8426246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Sentinels71c3,656$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.444550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Sentinels4c3,600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+127.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised41c3,203$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.1348448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Disguised14c2,840$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.271,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised46c2,818$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.391,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed Sentinels73c2,781$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Disguised37c2,750$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.56216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Disguised43c2,526$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.4528361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised41c2,137$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.941,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Sentinels77c2,051$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.956238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed Disguised50c1,980$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.383357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Disguised26c1,979$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.1116540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels71c1,834$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.1215149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels61c1,833$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Sentinels76c1,796$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3589051.1%46 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Sentinels60c1,670$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Disguised44c1,365$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.5936943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Sentinels3c1,350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised37c1,217$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.631,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.992,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Sentinels4c1,197$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.14296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+195%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed Sentinels1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10270%0 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised30c973.04$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.062,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Disguised40c904.26$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.382,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Disguised36c900$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels69c836.54$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.251,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Sentinels54c790.41$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8529856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Sentinels40c729.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2920537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab18…467dbacked Sentinels27c630$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.762321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised44c600.33$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.231,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Disguised72c565.02$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0248353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Disguised38c532.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9874344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Disguised48c516.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3716745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Sentinels61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30533736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Disguised41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.830348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Disguised30c483.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6363352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Sentinels52c470.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2439238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Disguised30c470$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.21,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Disguised22c458.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6126453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Disguised33c456.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8130155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Disguised77c434.52$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0344843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Sentinels66c406.06$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26856317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels78c400.58$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.550569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d98…38a4backed Sentinels71c377.86$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sentinels67c376$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6434742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Sentinels68c375.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Disguised37c368.54$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8225639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised40c368$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked Sentinels67c358.21$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Sentinels57c351.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Sentinels63c350$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.550547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Sentinels59c348.24$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Disguised44c339.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2941453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Sentinels68c328.26$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22426556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Sentinels67c305.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3113556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked Sentinels76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Disguised35c300$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Disguised35c293.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Sentinels46c278.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12847057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Disguised54c277.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5332650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Disguised37c271.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3221747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Disguised41c270$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.61,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Disguised17c270$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.516934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3941…ca84backed Disguised32c263$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1781060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Disguised39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4163448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Sentinels59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Sentinels50c240.91$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8425547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba4…42abbacked Disguised38c237.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Sentinels80c227.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.381,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9176…0468backed Sentinels63c220.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013569.6%94 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e13…2ac4backed Disguised25c219.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+308.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels65c207.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.192,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Sentinels40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Disguised26c199.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9941347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Disguised53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6821150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sentinels67c177$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4431439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Sentinels50c170.79$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.811,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Sentinels52c169.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3939750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Disguised72c166.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4922863.2%144 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Sentinels62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Disguised29c156.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.91,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Disguised33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.566445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sentinels66c144$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4670443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Sentinels72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Disguised36c133.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.028056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4004…68f2backed Sentinels66c124.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.