TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised41c12,050$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Sentinels64c11,490$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.6825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.51,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Disguised50c10,813$5,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,364.8225446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Disguised19c6,700$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26425038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Sentinels50c6,025$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.7331153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels57c5,304$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.161,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Disguised4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Sentinels70c2,966$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.58056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Disguised40c2,852$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14116654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels65c2,551$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.3840651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised51c2,482$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Disguised21c2,271$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8919150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Disguised1c2,200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9903,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised30c1,320$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.171,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Disguised51c1,304$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.733736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Sentinels79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Disguised40c1,237$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised45c1,137$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.461,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.692,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Disguised50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33644042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels60c616.28$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3950569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Disguised43c582.76$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7650547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels67c555$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.151,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Sentinels50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Sentinels59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20526453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked Disguised43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.995954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Disguised11c456.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1930421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Sentinels58c416.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.337852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Sentinels60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16016540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Sentinels60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16042148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Disguised39c385.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Sentinels53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Disguised8c352.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0613911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Sentinels59c259.19$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4426448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Disguised30c242.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.831,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Disguised18c240$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Disguised49c210.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.071,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Disguised50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed Disguised20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab18…467dbacked Sentinels57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Disguised45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Sentinels56c180.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.126556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Disguised18c159.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.033923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Disguised39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Sentinels76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5879156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised50c119$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f62…26a2backed Disguised40c118.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Disguised20c112.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Disguised45c111.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Disguised16c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.357025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Disguised29c105$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9320140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Disguised43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Sentinels58c96.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1546153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Sentinels57c93.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2939239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Sentinels57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7265754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Disguised44c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6428843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c41…c63ebacked Sentinels50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9176…0468backed Sentinels60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6713569.6%94 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…9a42backed Disguised37c58.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.624845.8%22 W · 26 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked Disguised54c56.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.718854.5%48 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Sentinels76c50.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2498163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised42c50.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3848448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed Disguised44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Sentinels51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1430632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Sentinels60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6746846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Sentinels60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6779151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…7956backed Sentinels77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.217466.1%115 W · 59 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed Disguised32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814047.9%67 W · 73 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Disguised40c37.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Disguised43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed Sentinels50c33.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.963444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Disguised46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Disguised60c30.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.028444%37 W · 47 L-12.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Disguised47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Disguised40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Disguised50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732e…0b35backed Sentinels60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.