CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5560663cd77ead04676144ce820e719df6c13c41fdddc08360fa43ca116ae9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked B8 | 14c | 30,396$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 79c | 13,733$10,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.15 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked B8 | 21c | 10,655$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked B8 | 40c | 7,126$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.38 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 4c | 5,672$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed B8 | 21c | 5,305$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked B8 | 6c | 5,060$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed FURIA | 48c | 4,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked B8 | 18c | 3,839$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed B8 | 13c | 3,739$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 5c | 3,520$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…3affbacked B8 | 7c | 2,934$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed B8 | 17c | 2,904$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked B8 | 13c | 2,770$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.37 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed B8 | 19c | 2,498$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.67 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed B8 | 7c | 2,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 15c | 1,761$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed B8 | 11c | 1,741$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FURIA | 60c | 1,529$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.61 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed B8 | 8c | 1,428$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked B8 | 7c | 1,405$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked B8 | 9c | 1,310$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed B8 | 20c | 1,180$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked B8 | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed B8 | 17c | 1,022$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed B8 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed B8 | 50c | 975.2$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.06 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed B8 | 18c | 900$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FURIA | 62c | 871.79$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.26 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 13c | 836.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 21c | 831$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.63 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked B8 | 9c | 800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…df3bbacked B8 | 33c | 719.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked B8 | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…a1bdbacked B8 | 10c | 349.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked B8 | 30c | 330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed FURIA | 80c | 326.34$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed B8 | 40c | 272.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed B8 | 4c | 248.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed B8 | 8c | 236.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…c4c0backed B8 | 10c | 231.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed FURIA | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed B8 | 24c | 209.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked B8 | 49c | 202.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FURIA | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed FURIA | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed FURIA | 73c | 188$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed B8 | 8c | 177.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked B8 | 11c | 177.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed B8 | 15c | 169.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked B8 | 15c | 147.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed B8 | 13c | 145.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed B8 | 8c | 143.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed B8 | 26c | 129.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked B8 | 9c | 120.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed B8 | 19c | 116.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked B8 | 14c | 116.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked B8 | 11c | 111.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FURIA | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked B8 | 15c | 105.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed B8 | 12c | 90.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked FURIA | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…5f0ebacked FURIA | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed B8 | 40c | 75.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed B8 | 15c | 75.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…06f5backed B8 | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FURIA | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…7b83backed B8 | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked B8 | 39c | 53.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked B8 | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…0d44backed FURIA | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 32c | 42.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked B8 | 43c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked FURIA | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked FURIA | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b713backed FURIA | 65c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.