CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95893c4fccebde0d74524e66fc5b93d027bca983eb9b476c15a1ccba5be63f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA | 57c | 1,842$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.4 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed B8 | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked B8 | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed B8 | 42c | 714.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked FURIA | 46c | 644.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 53c | 579.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.13 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked FURIA | 62c | 484$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked B8 | 37c | 320.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed FURIA | 64c | 310.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…9ebcbacked B8 | 41c | 200.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed FURIA | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed B8 | 45c | 168.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked FURIA | 63c | 163.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed B8 | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked B8 | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 38c | 121.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed B8 | 45c | 101.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked B8 | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed FURIA | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed FURIA | 62c | 78.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA | 55c | 71.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed B8 | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed FURIA | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 38c | 63.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…8e14backed FURIA | 62c | 52.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed FURIA | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed B8 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked FURIA | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FURIA | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked B8 | 49c | 34.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed FURIA | 51c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed FURIA | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed FURIA | 62c | 30.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FURIA | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked B8 | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…105dbacked FURIA | 63c | 28.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FURIA | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.