NFL · resolved market
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dab1a074a9dbfc122f49b1b4e683d0b9960738107623d2dfd974eb98865a020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 31,092$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.19 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,818$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…0fdebacked Yes | 7c | 4,989$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,791$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,021$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 3,911$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…7421backed Yes | 10c | 3,818$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…8db4backed Yes | 9c | 3,370$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1fc1backed Yes | 9c | 3,300$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…c4bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,390$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…edf8backed Yes | 10c | 2,230$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 6c | 2,186$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,184$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…48e8backed Yes | 5c | 1,513$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…3ab0backed Yes | 7c | 1,445$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…5a6fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,282$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,248$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed Yes | 4c | 1,246$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…44ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,216$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Yes | 5c | 1,184$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Yes | 8c | 1,183$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Yes | 8c | 1,148$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…eccfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…3428backed Yes | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed Yes | 10c | 1,110$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…b73ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,101$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…1a77backed Yes | 10c | 1,090$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Yes | 6c | 1,072$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,049$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Yes | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…992cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,015$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…9ff3backed Yes | 10c | 969.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…381bbacked Yes | 11c | 944.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…33febacked Yes | 8c | 892.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Yes | 14c | 891.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 3c | 889.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…8720backed Yes | 7c | 872$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed Yes | 10c | 819$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…7723backed Yes | 10c | 815.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…af9bbacked Yes | 4c | 794.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…337ebacked Yes | 8c | 783.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Yes | 1c | 772.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed Yes | 6c | 767$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…4a35backed Yes | 11c | 747.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…4c3abacked Yes | 7c | 719.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 718$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 714.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 686.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…8a92backed Yes | 4c | 666.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 2c | 664.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…08b8backed Yes | 8c | 661.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…70b3backed Yes | 5c | 637.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Yes | 10c | 637$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Yes | 8c | 633.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 622.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 603$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Yes | 10c | 602.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…e565backed Yes | 5c | 579.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed Yes | 6c | 576$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…185bbacked Yes | 11c | 569.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…86bcbacked Yes | 10c | 561.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fba…b77fbacked Yes | 7c | 555.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Yes | 12c | 550.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…e9f4backed Yes | 4c | 538.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…0db5backed Yes | 10c | 521.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…68d1backed Yes | 9c | 501.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9298…dd57backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…e1a1backed Yes | 10c | 497.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…220dbacked Yes | 5c | 482.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…9023backed Yes | 11c | 473.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…ebc9backed Yes | 12c | 460.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 11c | 458.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…e651backed Yes | 6c | 457.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…5cb2backed Yes | 5c | 433.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 7c | 433.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 6c | 426$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4709backed Yes | 6c | 424.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c8…4b22backed Yes | 9c | 420.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…244fbacked Yes | 3c | 402.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…233ebacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 10c | 395.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…73b5backed Yes | 6c | 393.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…f76fbacked Yes | 7c | 391.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…b42bbacked Yes | 10c | 391.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 5c | 383.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 7c | 379.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…31b0backed Yes | 8c | 378.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd593…38adbacked Yes | 4c | 366.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…d8c9backed Yes | 10c | 365.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…1fd0backed Yes | 3c | 361.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 5c | 356.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…3107backed Yes | 13c | 353$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked Yes | 8c | 352.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…00b4backed Yes | 7c | 347.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…df2ebacked Yes | 29c | 346.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 6c | 340.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…eb22backed Yes | 7c | 339.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Efecto" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "I Like It" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Jumpa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "No Me Conoce - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "PERRO NEGRO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Te Boté - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "un x100to" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.