TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b88…1fd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+62%+$7.3
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$16.54
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.1
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$8.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$10.55
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$9.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$15.4
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$35.41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$14.15
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$12.64
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$36.73
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$10.87
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$27.92
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.04
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$5.9
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+39.9%+$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+176.4%+$22.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+145.7%+$22.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+137%+$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.