Middle East · resolved market
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4705144106f4740342c9ea514b4aaf263c7f1986f7a75d754f1a3700d6b5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 66c | 18,832$12,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 35c | 10,063$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 65c | 5,546$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.17 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 32c | 4,842$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.49 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 63c | 3,657$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.11 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 77c | 3,500$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.72 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 58c | 3,199$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.45 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 41c | 3,196$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.23 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 69c | 3,184$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.03 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 25c | 3,163$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.66 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 71c | 3,152$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.69 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 27c | 2,994$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.77 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 3c | 2,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 28c | 2,386$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.47 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 10c | 2,328$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 40c | 2,026$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.74 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 30c | 2,012$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.19 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 1,985$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.52 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,958$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.56 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 1,845$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.77 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 38c | 1,750$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.2 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 34c | 1,426$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 37c | 1,407$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 24c | 1,370$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 79c | 1,356$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,279$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 54c | 1,251$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.68 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 21c | 1,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 1,200$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…ade2backed No | 41c | 1,167$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,130$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.1 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 60c | 1,120$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed No | 41c | 1,115$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.67 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 1,097$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 44c | 1,070$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…615cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,069$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…4c9dbacked No | 26c | 1,030$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 40c | 1,012$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 29c | 1,011$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.48 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…b071backed No | 52c | 1,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 900.37$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.34 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 43c | 893.59$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.09 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 21c | 799.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…d3a0backed No | 36c | 789.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed No | 31c | 765.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 76c | 752.21$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 40c | 722.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.09 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 46c | 689.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…ae8ebacked Yes | 67c | 651.89$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 29c | 643.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 612.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…6c10backed No | 37c | 607.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 31c | 607$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 72c | 600.33$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 41c | 599.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 69c | 587.84$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 60c | 574.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 30c | 565.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 47c | 556.76$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 76c | 533.45$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 20c | 531.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…1032backed Yes | 47c | 523.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 46c | 498.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5cf0backed Yes | 57c | 491.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked No | 55c | 474.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 9c | 459.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 65c | 423.09$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 77c | 409.4$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…2552backed Yes | 52c | 405.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…b99abacked Yes | 48c | 400.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +277.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…3babbacked No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…9de0backed No | 3c | 384.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…d2e3backed No | 50c | 377.49$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…11c5backed No | 35c | 342.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…e276backed Yes | 45c | 328$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 38c | 327.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 326.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…c95ebacked Yes | 75c | 281.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 18c | 279.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 69c | 271.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 31c | 261.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 67c | 246.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 21c | 234.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 38c | 229.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked No | 35c | 227$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…5797backed Yes | 68c | 212.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 9c | 212$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +170%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…5a2ebacked Yes | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…6c6fbacked Yes | 70c | 202.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked No | 56c | 202$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.