Fifa International · resolved market
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a27425265c58ea1fef1ab3292b0a6c58481fd022658221c7e6d7c7e7db3a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb17…5d7bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,930$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 65c | 4,762$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 34c | 4,447$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 4,236$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.34 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,384$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.41 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 70c | 3,374$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed Yes | 34c | 3,330$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 44c | 2,799$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.21 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…4403backed Yes | 36c | 2,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 56c | 2,076$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.52 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 1,790$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.58 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,777$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 1,675$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…92f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,645$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 69c | 1,590$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…67b6backed Yes | 27c | 1,496$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 1,436$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…6c27backed No | 77c | 1,409$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 28c | 1,369$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.79 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 66c | 1,323$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 50c | 1,308$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.64 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 54c | 1,302$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed No | 79c | 1,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,251$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed No | 63c | 1,226$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 34c | 1,173$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 56c | 1,100$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…28a1backed Yes | 56c | 1,064$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 68c | 1,056$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…d70dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,045$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…5348backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked No | 78c | 1,021$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed No | 57c | 978.23$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 61c | 960$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 177 | 57.1%101 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 42c | 940.45$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.18 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 923.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 13c | 906.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 57c | 882.76$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 39c | 874.17$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed Yes | 24c | 866.34$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 823.89$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.25 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 61c | 815.46$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.74 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 35c | 804.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 55c | 799.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…4485backed Yes | 26c | 782.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 51c | 769.55$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 46c | 755.96$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 45c | 740$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…59a4backed Yes | 63c | 739.97$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 31c | 732.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked No | 45c | 730$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 37c | 699.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 6c | 694.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…7eebbacked Yes | 32c | 681.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 669.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.27 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…cbfebacked Yes | 45c | 665.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…9f6ebacked No | 51c | 660.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 27c | 657.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 77c | 648.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 60c | 641.3$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…47c0backed Yes | 66c | 624.22$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2778backed Yes | 33c | 613$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd608…2639backed Yes | 51c | 602.25$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 61c | 599.75$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 69c | 550$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f8c9backed Yes | 55c | 548.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 52c | 544.7$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…c957backed Yes | 38c | 537.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 19c | 532.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…3e87backed Yes | 38c | 527.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Yes | 38c | 527.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 58c | 514.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 79c | 505.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…14e8backed Yes | 32c | 502.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…5a08backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 38c | 500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 79c | 495.52$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 65c | 495.13$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…bf7abacked Yes | 64c | 471.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…7c39backed No | 65c | 461.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…2763backed No | 57c | 457.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 28c | 455.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 66c | 453$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 43c | 452.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 75c | 451.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…4e23backed No | 77c | 450.39$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 46c | 431.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked No | 65c | 424.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 13c | 424.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 35c | 423.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 33c | 420$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 49c | 411.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed No | 71c | 407.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…0b6dbacked Yes | 25c | 405.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?this page
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.