NFL · resolved market
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206c3143628df465c101393d0f332f5e0e7ea1250c4a5406c5d7107cdf22a669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 80c | 17,897$14,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 78c | 10,650$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…9b49backed Yes | 21c | 8,887$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed Yes | 1c | 7,046$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 12c | 5,520$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…4251backed Yes | 19c | 5,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 78c | 5,110$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 18c | 3,340$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 78c | 1,986$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.17 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 44c | 1,850$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…5ea3backed Yes | 21c | 1,655$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 16c | 1,415$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed Yes | 22c | 1,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…bc70backed Yes | 18c | 1,340$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…7c66backed Yes | 21c | 1,239$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,139$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…8a3ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,109$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 995$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 53c | 981.09$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…64efbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 892.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…61fdbacked Yes | 20c | 818.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…d41abacked Yes | 19c | 763.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 20c | 745.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…1a07backed Yes | 22c | 682.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…1c7ebacked Yes | 21c | 639.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 22c | 615.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…edf8backed Yes | 20c | 614.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 18c | 604.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 601.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 19c | 599.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…e590backed Yes | 22c | 592.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…a967backed Yes | 34c | 579.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 16c | 555$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 49c | 549.95$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 45c | 538.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Yes | 14c | 526.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…1adfbacked No | 50c | 525.21$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 14c | 522$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…2ca7backed Yes | 19c | 520.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 16c | 497.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…466fbacked Yes | 20c | 491.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…a1a1backed No | 54c | 471.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…2d0dbacked Yes | 21c | 468.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Yes | 22c | 463.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ec…37d3backed Yes | 22c | 457.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…cc9dbacked Yes | 18c | 454.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…7039backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…4431backed Yes | 22c | 452.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…cbfebacked Yes | 22c | 451.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…5facbacked Yes | 22c | 451.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 56c | 444$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 16c | 444$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…6bd7backed Yes | 23c | 435.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…a8a1backed Yes | 23c | 430.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 16c | 421$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 24c | 400.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Yes | 14c | 381$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…f7ecbacked Yes | 17c | 340.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 4c | 337.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 16c | 333.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 79c | 327.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…a994backed Yes | 17c | 322.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 22c | 319.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…17e2backed Yes | 21c | 314.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b2cbbacked Yes | 19c | 295.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…0652backed Yes | 22c | 290.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…66e7backed Yes | 15c | 281.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fa…6e36backed Yes | 18c | 273.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…f97abacked Yes | 21c | 263.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…4ca6backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 262.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c89…47f2backed Yes | 19c | 261.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 22c | 255.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 19c | 255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…407abacked Yes | 20c | 250.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 19c | 242.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…336cbacked Yes | 20c | 232.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…5b38backed Yes | 17c | 229.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e42…ff3cbacked Yes | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…af7dbacked Yes | 22c | 228.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…4facbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…7bdbbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 21c | 224.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 22c | 221.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffa…d408backed Yes | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 18c | 216.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 21c | 215.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c4…86d5backed Yes | 24c | 208.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3b20backed No | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.