Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250716ecd25235530ba4dbd1fa0acf6ab92ab05cf5347e25fc86c4384ef1cecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 68c | 7,400$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.65 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 25c | 5,169$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.56 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 28c | 4,308$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.32 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…b4cebacked Yes | 79c | 2,562$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 33c | 1,969$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed No | 24c | 1,882$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 62c | 1,867$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.32 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 76c | 1,766$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 73c | 1,714$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,687$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,576$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 17c | 1,484$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 47c | 1,428$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…efd5backed Yes | 7c | 1,347$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 40c | 1,262$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.44 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed Yes | 18c | 1,250$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 25c | 1,246$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.3 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.52 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 22c | 1,073$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 69c | 1,072$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…d030backed Yes | 39c | 1,027$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…06d3backed Yes | 39c | 1,020$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 69c | 998$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 67c | 994$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 30c | 993.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.68 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 67c | 975$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 939$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 31c | 932$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 53c | 919$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 52c | 897$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Yes | 36c | 885.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Yes | 55c | 884$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Yes | 31c | 881$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 17c | 869.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes | 27c | 864$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 45c | 853$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 27c | 850$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 33c | 836.38$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 55c | 827$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 45c | 817$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…986cbacked No | 45c | 814$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…a11dbacked Yes | 12c | 805.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 24c | 804.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…8af8backed Yes | 14c | 801.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 774$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 53c | 774$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed Yes | 55c | 773$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 13c | 733.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 46c | 730.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed No | 74c | 705$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 66c | 703$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 34c | 703$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 68c | 699$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 69c | 682$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 32c | 675.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed No | 74c | 675$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 18c | 654.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 52c | 624$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 32c | 618.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 609.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.56 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 68c | 553$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 58c | 548.08$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 541.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 26c | 536$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 535.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 32c | 532$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 45c | 519.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 32c | 506$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…9881backed Yes | 13c | 499.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…0d1bbacked Yes | 26c | 494.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0322…d688backed Yes | 12c | 482.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 27c | 453.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 38c | 436.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 16c | 430.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…42cdbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 415.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…7c9bbacked No | 42c | 415.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 52c | 412$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 48c | 411$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 32c | 392.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 10c | 379.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 74c | 376.48$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.23 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 35c | 373.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…2ec4backed Yes | 16c | 367.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 366.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 74c | 354$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 70c | 350$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 339$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…c3b0backed Yes | 22c | 338.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 25c | 321.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…5cdcbacked Yes | 8c | 313.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 75c | 312.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?this page
- Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.