Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 41c | 8,354$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.42 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 78c | 7,743$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.57 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 5c | 5,990$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.89 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 55c | 5,498$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.14 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 32c | 3,103$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.61 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…a995backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.97 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,614$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,220$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.62 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed No | 51c | 2,041$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.73 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,028$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.46 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,017$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 5c | 1,920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 79c | 1,844$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,727$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…7796backed Yes | 50c | 1,714$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 19c | 1,595$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed No | 50c | 1,550$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 38c | 1,486$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 38c | 1,483$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 32c | 1,470$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.46 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 53c | 1,446$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.55 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4cf2backed No | 56c | 1,437$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,414$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 62c | 1,379$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 47c | 1,373$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.57 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 55c | 1,343$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.05 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 78c | 1,326$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked No | 60c | 1,317$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 51c | 1,300$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 42c | 1,273$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.46 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,221$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked No | 62c | 1,186$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,168$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…0cc2backed Yes | 38c | 1,159$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 1,155$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 46c | 1,110$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…13a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,099$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed Yes | 47c | 1,082$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0a…93c2backed Yes | 13c | 1,058$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 10c | 1,051$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 68c | 1,041$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.36 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 40c | 1,022$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…e673backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…af5dbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 978.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 9c | 962.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050b…2415backed Yes | 44c | 913.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 21c | 899.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 64c | 870.48$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 36c | 814.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 38c | 804.91$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…607cbacked Yes | 48c | 798.73$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…9314backed Yes | 50c | 795.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed No | 76c | 790$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…dec6backed Yes | 21c | 783.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed No | 58c | 772.81$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed Yes | 7c | 755.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 66c | 747.91$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 57c | 738.45$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.51 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…0593backed Yes | 42c | 710.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 700.64$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 75c | 670.76$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 72c | 649$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 46c | 616.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 41c | 614.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 50c | 604.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 48c | 589.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…587cbacked Yes | 43c | 585.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 57c | 563$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 47c | 541.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 58c | 537.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 18c | 536.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…3da4backed Yes | 46c | 530.4$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 10c | 530.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…c0ddbacked Yes | 47c | 527.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 56c | 518.49$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 39c | 517.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Yes | 23c | 516.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…fbf4backed Yes | 41c | 512.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 30c | 503.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 56c | 500$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…770bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 53c | 499.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…b2cabacked Yes | 49c | 498.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 35c | 475$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 8c | 436.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 50c | 433.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…d7cebacked Yes | 38c | 420.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…186ebacked Yes | 39c | 419.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 415.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…864dbacked No | 55c | 410$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…fb09backed Yes | 5c | 408.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?this page
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.