TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6024…dec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT8229.3%24 W · 58 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$638.18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$708.86
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$480.05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,615
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$1,518.71
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,417
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$97.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$2,070
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$218.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$478
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$961
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$761.54
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$130.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$420
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$185.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$244.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$143.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$282.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$296.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.22
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$458.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$178.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$241.28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$488.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$140.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$57.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$135.79
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.7%+$268.27
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$114.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$282.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.