TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c36,191$12,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under66c30,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.962075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under65c12,164$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,294.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c9,160$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c7,355$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.093,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over33c5,461$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.8735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7507553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055d…245dbacked Under69c4,203$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5201968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over42c2,990$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.8922553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under54c2,857$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under69c1,988$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.299443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c1,943$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.428351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over54c1,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc1d…be30backed Under68c1,490$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.793100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c1,412$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.376858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked Over5c1,193$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over27c1,093$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over36c1,072$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.22536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over34c1,001$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.511,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed Over31c999.92$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Over57c932.48$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Under66c918.26$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Over27c896.59$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.552035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c817.26$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over34c777$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over31c727.31$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under67c720.74$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over35c689.09$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1122658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over34c570.57$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under73c545.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.72958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Under60c544.44$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under62c499.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c493.53$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over35c480$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Over32c459.88$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under68c442.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0423152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over43c438.01$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under65c435$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.257447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under60c404.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9cf…8fafbacked Under69c400.46$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over9c397.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1318842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over39c393.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.266459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6024…dec6backed Over52c380.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over33c341.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.21,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under51c340$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under66c323$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.826855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under63c315.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.694973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb19…9a2abacked Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over33c299.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.38229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…71b6backed Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under66c284$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.562653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Under55c279.69$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.981384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdffa…767fbacked Under64c269.07$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c250.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.191,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over36c248.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.436360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under61c236.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2811427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2222939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c214.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under64c210.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.948254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f77…f668backed Under46c208.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.591040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over34c185.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under66c182$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6719247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over35c180.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.567346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under46c167.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.12050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over42c164.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.915853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e7…6c06backed Under64c156.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a3…ea15backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c155$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5996…d1b9backed Under65c152.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over34c149.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under69c149.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e80…986ebacked Over32c145.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f53…467bbacked Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Under70c143.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.57072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under69c140.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c61…667cbacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e8…3f48backed Under78c127.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over39c122.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.754247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under52c116.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.316348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over22c115.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under58c113.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.054942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Under63c111.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Under45c110.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.