TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under9c20,296$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,467.5812020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under25c14,918$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,166.342040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c10,950$8,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,200.94,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c9,481$6,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,055.53,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under28c8,294$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,971.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under46c7,528$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over73c7,144$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.771457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over72c6,890$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,929.62,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under29c6,390$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.071241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over5c5,101$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.663327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under36c4,811$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.18351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under36c4,573$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over74c3,989$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.2260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over70c2,030$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.5610168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over45c1,920$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.271442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c1,910$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2761657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under30c1,837$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.546855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over57c1,818$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over73c1,685$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.8213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Under61c1,642$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under25c1,600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.926756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over71c1,401$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9955554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2811…838abacked Under56c1,245$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over74c1,221$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over78c1,200$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93616149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over72c1,105$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+82.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under13c805.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.043141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c706.55$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9719258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under76c688.86$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c680.21$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb8…3236backed Under7c669.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.643100%3 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+618.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under29c601.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3714647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc487…ab80backed Over79c600.45$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x550a…cfe3backed Over3c532.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under22c523.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over78c518.75$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under19c514.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.442231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9911819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Over73c498.49$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.91450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over72c488.16$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under12c482.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Over73c479.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under29c446$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2414140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under70c445.44$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.54971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over46c434.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c399.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under40c382$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under22c374.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+122.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over65c371.65$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.573354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3f…caf9backed Under32c313.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over49c297.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c281.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.251,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under27c274$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8419247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…c762backed Over73c270$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over80c233$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.44362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under67c223.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1116348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under55c218.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under14c214.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.221650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Under24c206.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over71c194.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.698960.7%54 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over12c191.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.328852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Under28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over72c171.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over77c169.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under12c166.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.665945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under27c162.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9511336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over78c159.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.424942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Over77c156$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…687abacked Under76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694c…0215backed Over67c149.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c148.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over77c148$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over70c144.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.718229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ab…728dbacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under22c137.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.513246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over77c130.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Under12c125.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Over73c123.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3157…5903backed Under21c110.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+153.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over74c106.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under24c104.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4219358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8027…ffdebacked Under24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddc…086dbacked Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Under28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb23e…362bbacked Under11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick36cpaid+175.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over49c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Over65c97.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over35c93.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.776459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…bc03backed Over73c90.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.27366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Over50c89.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over70c89.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9144424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.