La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x282c8fa2fd060907f281a1413396bd674f7b72de9834d90c3d47d1648cdfae9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Barcelonaof Real Madrid CF, FC Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 4,070$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 2,698$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 1c | 1,554$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,165$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…373dbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,044$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 743.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 311.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…0c7cbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 275.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Real Madrid CF | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…6576backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…12c1backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 167.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…c2bfbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 107.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.