Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d426699f328a13c562844e563edeba9e8ff7e827a518be5bef4435dca6ea345

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,104,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,349,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,104,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	0c	105,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	88,979$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.81	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…1cf9backed Yes	1c	70,802$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.44	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	50,171$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.92	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	1c	38,502$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.2	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee3d…5744backed Yes	1c	28,982$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	26,962$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.49	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	25,389$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.22	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5cbd…e60abacked Yes	1c	23,733$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	3c	21,479$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.18	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3847…df89backed Yes	2c	19,877$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	19,642$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.71	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	19,607$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.81	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d79…7f4abacked Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	0c	16,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…1e2abacked Yes	2c	14,041$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	4c	13,994$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.76	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	12,641$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.78	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	2c	11,983$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.46	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	1c	11,846$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.06	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	3c	11,779$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.35	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes	1c	11,635$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.36	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	11,275$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.17	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	0c	11,258$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.07	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2b…4830backed Yes	1c	10,381$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bc…ae0ebacked Yes	2c	10,275$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2483…6f2fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2f14…905dbacked Yes	5c	9,428$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+64%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6d…0446backed Yes	0c	9,251$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	0c	8,926$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	5c	8,800$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.54	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	2c	8,695$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.59	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	8,326$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.33	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd0…b570backed Yes	0c	8,170$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+225.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b22…c824backed Yes	1c	8,129$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	7,794$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	1c	7,751$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.77	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	7,719$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.63	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	2c	7,567$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd19…57d2backed Yes	0c	7,023$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17ed…b48ebacked Yes	1c	6,668$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+96%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	6,433$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.45	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9051…7423backed Yes	0c	5,955$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254f…cf10backed Yes	1c	5,884$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd18…4783backed Yes	1c	5,665$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	5,649$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.24	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	5,606$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.39	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	0c	5,550$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	1c	5,496$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.02	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f7…00f0backed Yes	0c	5,430$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…8011backed Yes	0c	5,266$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	5,016$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	5,003$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.65	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6396…7e87backed Yes	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	1c	4,990$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.92	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	4,946$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Yes	1c	4,893$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf516…1ea1backed Yes	0c	4,700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	1c	4,641$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.98	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	4,540$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…e3d0backed Yes	1c	4,372$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	4,303$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.85	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes	1c	4,157$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48e…38bfbacked Yes	3c	4,144$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	3,897$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.44	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6233…8216backed Yes	0c	3,811$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	34	5.9%2 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	3,785$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.38	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	14c	3,750$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.03	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	1c	3,693$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	3,534$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.86	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	3,395$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	3,385$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	2c	3,239$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.77	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda67…fc0fbacked Yes	1c	3,203$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	3c	3,163$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.96	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	2c	3,143$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	3,029$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afd…1241backed Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Yes	3c	2,963$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.06	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…3badbacked Yes	1c	2,910$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a3…df40backed Yes	1c	2,900$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	116	24.1%28 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	7c	2,869$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes	0c	2,739$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc24…a62fbacked Yes	2c	2,708$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…305bbacked Yes	2c	2,697$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	8c	2,622$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e0…44e0backed Yes	1c	2,614$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	2,581$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.71	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa230…5f3fbacked Yes	9c	2,511$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.32	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	2,503$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e8…37b4backed Yes	1c	2,427$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…0b0bbacked Yes	2c	2,400$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Yes	2c	2,360$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.58	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…349ebacked Yes	1c	2,340$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	2,331$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.84	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…a238backed Yes	1c	2,251$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event