Music · resolved market
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378f76341e555b6d54b89cc527afde5f8c293025cf6f48980145b94dc5726ce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 14c | 20,012$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,044$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 3,552$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 5c | 3,114$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 2,744$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…4eb8backed Yes | 13c | 2,490$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +831.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,991$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,842$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…11b5backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…4e1fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,750$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…3af6backed Yes | 18c | 1,717$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…c654backed Yes | 12c | 1,645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 10c | 1,580$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,530$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +643.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a8…8da4backed Yes | 7c | 1,176$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 12c | 1,143$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 10c | 1,117$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,109$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +612.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 77c | 1,098$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 11c | 1,022$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…ca09backed Yes | 8c | 989.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 15c | 988.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 11c | 924.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 838.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…74e6backed Yes | 5c | 769.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 17c | 709$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Yes | 11c | 708.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +957.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 702.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…6f7bbacked Yes | 23c | 665.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…cbe7backed Yes | 10c | 660$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 9c | 654.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 11c | 651.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 7c | 650.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 11c | 642.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 17c | 630$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…c9d5backed Yes | 10c | 608.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 550.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…82e8backed Yes | 14c | 541.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…3568backed Yes | 15c | 537.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 9c | 529.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +509.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…aa21backed Yes | 4c | 524.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 524.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…9ca6backed Yes | 9c | 516.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 505.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63f…0cd3backed Yes | 12c | 424.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…a2c0backed Yes | 14c | 421.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…e737backed Yes | 7c | 412.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…50debacked Yes | 9c | 411.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +415.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed Yes | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 8c | 400$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 17c | 399$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 391.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 8c | 388.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 368.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ced…97e5backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f345backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Yes | 15c | 331.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…e547backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6c…8b78backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…9978backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Yes | 14c | 292.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…d8e0backed Yes | 11c | 290.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 10c | 278.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…b038backed Yes | 14c | 276.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 273.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 22c | 268.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 268.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Yes | 21c | 258.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes | 12c | 252$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…9cc7backed Yes | 12c | 249.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 12c | 246.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 13c | 244.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…78f8backed Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…78e7backed Yes | 22c | 229.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 13c | 229.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…aebebacked Yes | 13c | 228.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7156…a929backed Yes | 12c | 215.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 213.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 208.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 5c | 204.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…4344backed Yes | 9c | 202.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…94f2backed Yes | 10c | 200.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…2a92backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…b62cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…7091backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…07bdbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d990backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.