World Politics · resolved market
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109985b203700a3201125daee47e511f6de4ff2cf138d66a3f2adb557c36c0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,883$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 24,999$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…b50ebacked Yes | 15c | 21,438$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 12,611$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,514$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,066$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 2c | 3,672$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,602$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 3c | 2,516$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 12c | 2,207$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…217fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,171$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…1ed2backed Yes | 5c | 1,561$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…bfb9backed Yes | 8c | 1,549$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,515$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,386$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8b60backed Yes | 1c | 1,308$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…b2ffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,208$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,071$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…10a3backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 961.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…f914backed Yes | 6c | 833.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 799.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…8dfbbacked Yes | 8c | 790$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…b203backed Yes | 2c | 761.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 2c | 700.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Yes | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…9118backed Yes | 3c | 569.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 511.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…fa2abacked Yes | 7c | 450.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes | 3c | 415$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 3c | 383.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 80c | 372.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…9e71backed Yes | 4c | 342.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…4e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 338.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes | 22c | 325.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…0979backed Yes | 5c | 322.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 10c | 309.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b873backed Yes | 4c | 306.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 14c | 275.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 15c | 213.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…6be3backed Yes | 9c | 157.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…d4a8backed Yes | 10c | 154.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 139.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…9506backed Yes | 17c | 114.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed Yes | 18c | 112.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…b568backed Yes | 15c | 104.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…8c47backed Yes | 19c | 91.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 14c | 84.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.