Olympics · resolved market
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38d076113645bc3937976368baf071affe29aa44dcce78ad91ba68a800397a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 5c | 23,806$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.21 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 40c | 19,380$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,655.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 59c | 12,502$7,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 12,120$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.65 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 5,392$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 44c | 4,157$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 21c | 4,102$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…1240backed Yes | 13c | 3,919$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 6c | 3,010$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,560$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,478$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 4c | 2,277$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,961$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 76c | 1,313$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 70c | 1,212$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 58c | 1,100$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.77 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 33c | 1,088$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 3c | 987$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 976.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Yes | 45c | 948.14$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 29c | 921.66$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 762.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked Yes | 8c | 752.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 42c | 740$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 732.51$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 729.37$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 43c | 704.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 38c | 699.4$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 3c | 690.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Yes | 2c | 672.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 655.19$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 24c | 645.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 2c | 607.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…04ecbacked Yes | 6c | 574.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 534.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 23c | 525.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…8a3fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 37c | 499.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 455.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 29c | 405.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 30c | 403.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 23c | 390.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…b7acbacked Yes | 5c | 370.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 21c | 355.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 63c | 319.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 315.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 71c | 284.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 25c | 282.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 279.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 5c | 257$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 64c | 250.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 26c | 194.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f8…7805backed Yes | 44c | 181.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 37c | 179.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 7c | 173.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 39c | 166$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f47…cf58backed Yes | 29c | 156.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…6df8backed Yes | 29c | 152.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…20f7backed Yes | 37c | 118$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…c9babacked Yes | 37c | 118$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…8c8fbacked Yes | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…03a6backed Yes | 37c | 113$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 70c | 112.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…773cbacked Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 103.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 103.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8799…a89fbacked Yes | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…fb0fbacked Yes | 44c | 102.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…7314backed Yes | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 36c | 100.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcac…6a79backed Yes | 37c | 98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…b847backed Yes | 37c | 98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff46…a3afbacked Yes | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…1b15backed Yes | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 37c | 87.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 73c | 84.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…de5abacked Yes | 24c | 81.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 29c | 80.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…8ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…bbc0backed Yes | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 79c | 77.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes | 26c | 75.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…9918backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…aa02backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…c4abbacked No | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…8116backed No | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…76e9backed No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…6ebcbacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…654cbacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…0633backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Japan win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.