Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a38e9511fe17e13fa7c3fc65923983c22d4d494b69091fad0107637a7cd1e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,022,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,905,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,022,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 0c | 1,838,121$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.12 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,724,290$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 456,605$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.42 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 2c | 367,279$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.22 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 3c | 250,000$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb54…5202backed Yes | 2c | 226,063$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…6497backed Yes | 2c | 216,893$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…0ce0backed Yes | 1c | 198,000$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.65 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…e4a8backed Yes | 3c | 171,836$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 2c | 123,512$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.33 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 1c | 123,505$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.38 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 2c | 118,109$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.87 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 3c | 117,958$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.56 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…b19ebacked Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 2c | 99,874$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.81 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 95,458$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.68 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 94,396$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 90,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 3c | 81,555$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.59 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…3bd1backed Yes | 6c | 77,054$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…8240backed Yes | 23c | 70,000$15,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,989.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +221.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…d77abacked Yes | 15c | 66,687$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…9807backed Yes | 2c | 64,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 14cpaid | +243.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 1c | 54,623$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.68 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…547fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,510$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…0ed3backed Yes | 2c | 46,638$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…6110backed Yes | 2c | 45,878$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.32 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,300$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6589backed Yes | 0c | 41,500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…f661backed Yes | 2c | 40,418$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 2c | 40,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…dc82backed Yes | 1c | 36,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…1527backed Yes | 2c | 35,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…7abbbacked Yes | 2c | 33,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…dc46backed Yes | 2c | 32,118$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…ee14backed Yes | 1c | 31,355$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 31,315$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…c70ebacked Yes | 2c | 30,609$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0747backed Yes | 2c | 30,023$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 29,797$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.12 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -14.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…98e3backed Yes | 1c | 29,542$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…c6dabacked Yes | 1c | 28,587$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…dfcdbacked Yes | 2c | 27,789$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…015fbacked Yes | 10c | 27,503$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 1c | 27,013$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c3…1e79backed Yes | 4c | 26,557$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.71 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…b493backed Yes | 12c | 24,267$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…09efbacked Yes | 2c | 23,920$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 2c | 23,489$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.29 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…69f6backed Yes | 1c | 23,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Yes | 11c | 22,995$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 22,450$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.36 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…e49fbacked Yes | 7c | 21,531$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…2ff5backed Yes | 2c | 21,308$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…385abacked Yes | 1c | 21,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 2c | 20,947$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…4f02backed Yes | 3c | 20,819$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…e4f7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 9c | 19,992$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.31 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…2547backed Yes | 2c | 19,802$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…36edbacked Yes | 3c | 19,384$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 19,114$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bd15backed Yes | 1c | 18,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +257%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 2c | 18,076$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.42 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 21c | 17,203$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 16,660$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…4649backed Yes | 0c | 16,237$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 3c | 15,752$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.78 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 1c | 15,611$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…fc66backed Yes | 12c | 14,433$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…c7f1backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…e658backed Yes | 2c | 13,868$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8f…b7a2backed Yes | 1c | 13,817$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +790.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…4788backed Yes | 1c | 13,758$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…1407backed Yes | 2c | 13,717$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 9c | 13,716$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.75 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…ea7cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,473$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9e6dbacked Yes | 4c | 13,434$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 2c | 13,321$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…4cd9backed Yes | 1c | 13,087$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 13,075$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d4b8backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…d876backed Yes | 3c | 12,917$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…9a34backed Yes | 2c | 12,675$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc033…c3e2backed Yes | 2c | 12,506$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 10c | 12,455$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.06 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83f8…d9f1backed Yes | 11c | 12,260$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…13a7backed Yes | 1c | 12,154$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 1c | 12,006$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…94d5backed Yes | 21c | 12,001$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…2bc2backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…bf69backed Yes | 17c | 11,899$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,504$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…ab80backed Yes | 1c | 11,461$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?this page
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?No won
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.