Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d15da5bbd95766495c0229da4dab1382cc81e313c6be925558f86b8b628d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 55c | 50,079$27,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,351.51 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 48c | 26,012$12,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,509.74 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…bd87backed No | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8c87backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…f6eabacked No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…bc75backed No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…fb9ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…59c8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…5d12backed Yes | 54c | 9,258$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…504cbacked Yes | 48c | 8,076$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.54 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.43per pick | 51cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 44c | 5,362$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.14 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.6 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 47c | 4,837$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.16 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 37c | 4,025$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 28c | 3,914$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.01 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…1230backed Yes | 44c | 3,901$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 53c | 3,898$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.31 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.79 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 2,978$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.27 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 53c | 2,874$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.34 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…70fabacked No | 42c | 2,870$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 50c | 2,866$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.12 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…0616backed Yes | 49c | 2,392$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…c715backed Yes | 43c | 2,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 36c | 2,219$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.05 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,048$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 37c | 2,022$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.88 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 44c | 1,734$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.2 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked Yes | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…39bdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,600$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…6ea5backed No | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…d158backed No | 3c | 1,508$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3426…bf5dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,507$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…e020backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 56c | 1,487$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.82 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 53c | 1,294$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…4570backed Yes | 39c | 1,269$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…7143backed Yes | 57c | 1,200$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.56per pick | 32cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 1,175$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.41 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 49c | 986.94$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.11 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…1d82backed Yes | 56c | 959.52$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…eadabacked Yes | 52c | 958.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.37 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 930.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…f64abacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 812.87$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.89 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…21f4backed No | 1c | 799.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 64c | 794.23$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…d1d2backed Yes | 53c | 731.97$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…6496backed Yes | 43c | 707.3$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.82 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 55c | 665.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 620.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 60c | 613.79$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…44fbbacked No | 55c | 601.21$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 45c | 597.65$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 574$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes | 50c | 571.76$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 44c | 556.82$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.61 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked Yes | 48c | 549.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -11.0wins | -0.33per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…28f9backed Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…709ebacked Yes | 57c | 447.37$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 43c | 447.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…a75cbacked Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…2e2ebacked Yes | 55c | 364.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…00babacked Yes | 52c | 353.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 46c | 332.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 53c | 329.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 46c | 319.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…e44abacked No | 66c | 303.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 38c | 302.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…8680backed Yes | 49c | 286$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -9.5wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed No | 48c | 265.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…e214backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 70c | 257.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e4…5543backed No | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 61c | 233.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked No | 65c | 230.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -6.5wins | -0.59per pick | 68cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…5f84backed Yes | 39c | 230.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…0b28backed Yes | 49c | 225.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…b456backed Yes | 45c | 221.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…ffa5backed No | 57c | 210.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -8.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…da0fbacked Yes | 46c | 210$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No | 59c | 205.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 46c | 205.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes | 41c | 205.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 27c | 204.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…bac4backed No | 64c | 200.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -7.1wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?this page
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?No won
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.