Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb755d7a41ab845801e7b03e69c763169880c9970d12aaf4a90a40aa97da4c65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,599,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,662,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,599,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ed3…b19ebacked Yes | 1c | 300,002$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.03 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 1c | 277,345$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 249,815$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.53 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…d004backed Yes | 0c | 222,949$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 1c | 186,385$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.01 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…6497backed Yes | 1c | 183,937$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.3 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Yes | 1c | 175,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 1c | 163,663$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.76 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…3365backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…0ce0backed Yes | 1c | 126,115$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.12 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…9097backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…e335backed Yes | 1c | 93,394$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 1c | 72,499$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.16 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…2516backed Yes | 1c | 68,120$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…8b8cbacked Yes | 0c | 66,882$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 61,183$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.31 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 1c | 52,236$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.31 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…2b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 1c | 39,683$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 39,313$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.17 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 3c | 37,768$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 1c | 36,914$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…ef94backed Yes | 0c | 36,882$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…6110backed Yes | 1c | 35,513$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…c70ebacked Yes | 1c | 35,201$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 34,226$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 33,744$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.84 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes | 0c | 32,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 0c | 27,846$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…56f5backed Yes | 1c | 27,529$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…36d6backed Yes | 1c | 25,291$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Yes | 0c | 23,426$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 1c | 23,136$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed Yes | 1c | 23,033$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…4f02backed Yes | 4c | 22,693$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…ca4ebacked Yes | 5c | 21,678$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…120cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,811$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…70b7backed Yes | 1c | 20,061$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…5cc3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…e31cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…3117backed Yes | 3c | 19,611$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…c6aebacked Yes | 1c | 19,007$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…e5ddbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…be62backed Yes | 0c | 16,625$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,012$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…8931backed Yes | 1c | 15,385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…85b2backed Yes | 1c | 15,111$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…7afdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,269$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes | 2c | 13,992$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 1c | 13,676$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 4c | 12,502$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…52f1backed Yes | 2c | 12,415$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 1c | 12,384$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,274$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.83 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,162$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…9843backed Yes | 3c | 11,018$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…8d20backed Yes | 0c | 10,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…5f1cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,633$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…cbe1backed Yes | 1c | 10,354$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2a…0bbebacked Yes | 3c | 10,027$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…3b11backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ebdfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 9,891$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…1396backed Yes | 3c | 9,543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 2c | 9,015$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…dc46backed Yes | 1c | 8,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…9012backed Yes | 0c | 8,335$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…a976backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…a9d4backed Yes | 2c | 8,329$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,672$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 7,014$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…f9fcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,610$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac4…448dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,422$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 3c | 6,420$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…aba5backed Yes | 1c | 6,400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…8b61backed Yes | 1c | 6,245$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…ea15backed Yes | 2c | 5,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…b564backed Yes | 1c | 5,824$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…4897backed Yes | 2c | 5,625$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed Yes | 2c | 5,624$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…de9abacked Yes | 1c | 5,407$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 5,292$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…e46ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,286$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…f2e2backed Yes | 0c | 5,249$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…c519backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…c2f8backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a81…4682backed Yes | 3c | 4,980$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…13a7backed Yes | 0c | 4,974$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?this page
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?No won
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.