Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ebe673ed7e71d3846b4f0c74065351d9f7f2717088ea2a517d86ef0d02c7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,250,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,374,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,250,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 2c | 720,138$10,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.03 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 360,820$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.38 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…9f89backed Yes | 1c | 286,547$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 2c | 185,713$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 172,915$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.34 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb54…5202backed Yes | 2c | 164,375$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed Yes | 0c | 163,468$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 157,780$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.49 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…cc00backed Yes | 0c | 155,153$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…1271backed Yes | 0c | 154,411$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…aba9backed Yes | 0c | 153,863$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…563bbacked Yes | 0c | 153,609$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 0c | 148,966$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…5833backed Yes | 0c | 143,575$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…b955backed Yes | 0c | 133,615$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 10c | 124,704$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…6497backed Yes | 2c | 115,382$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…b78bbacked Yes | 1c | 101,800$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…8931backed Yes | 1c | 97,446$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed Yes | 1c | 96,938$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.69 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…dc82backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…b19ebacked Yes | 1c | 84,489$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.86 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 78,582$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.39 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 11c | 75,897$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.86 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…217cbacked Yes | 0c | 73,031$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…e50fbacked Yes | 0c | 72,550$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…8b8cbacked Yes | 1c | 70,206$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Yes | 1c | 70,170$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bd15backed Yes | 1c | 69,609$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +257%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…e210backed Yes | 2c | 67,718$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes | 2c | 63,341$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,390$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.07 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…077abacked Yes | 3c | 57,321$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…0ce0backed Yes | 2c | 55,327$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.52 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed Yes | 1c | 55,000$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…a51abacked Yes | 1c | 54,564$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…fda0backed Yes | 1c | 52,200$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…1527backed Yes | 2c | 50,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…3bd1backed Yes | 20c | 49,368$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 47,970$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.58 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 2c | 46,208$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 7c | 45,391$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 4c | 44,154$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.21 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…e4a8backed Yes | 4c | 41,988$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…31dabacked Yes | 12c | 40,795$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…6adbbacked Yes | 25c | 40,234$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,985.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…312cbacked Yes | 21c | 40,149$8,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 10c | 39,985$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…016abacked Yes | 1c | 39,780$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 39,424$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c2b5backed Yes | 5c | 38,261$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 1c | 37,737$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…f661backed Yes | 1c | 37,664$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Yes | 17c | 36,358$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 0c | 35,069$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 7c | 32,916$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.64 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 5c | 32,684$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…2b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,049$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 9c | 29,957$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…dc46backed Yes | 2c | 28,417$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…9d4bbacked Yes | 9c | 28,309$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 18c | 28,000$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 4c | 27,800$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.68 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…2758backed Yes | 2c | 27,580$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c7e9backed Yes | 1c | 27,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +337.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…5a8fbacked Yes | 18c | 27,359$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…6110backed Yes | 2c | 27,114$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 2c | 27,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 8c | 26,598$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…edcbbacked Yes | 3c | 25,902$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…4570backed Yes | 0c | 25,409$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…c744backed Yes | 10c | 25,206$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 1c | 25,059$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…d953backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 22c | 25,000$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 12c | 22,998$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.65 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…69f6backed Yes | 1c | 22,570$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…285fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,383$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…bbedbacked Yes | 12c | 21,656$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +378.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…e30fbacked Yes | 9c | 21,489$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…c7f1backed Yes | 5c | 20,700$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…c876backed Yes | 7c | 20,613$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.01 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 2c | 20,341$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…4f02backed Yes | 2c | 20,144$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…670abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,577$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2833backed Yes | 2c | 18,716$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…8142backed Yes | 8c | 18,108$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…56f5backed Yes | 1c | 18,017$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…ee87backed Yes | 1c | 17,689$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 7c | 17,346$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.45 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…0fb8backed Yes | 1c | 17,208$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd624…a0f8backed Yes | 12c | 16,440$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 3c | 16,146$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.48 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…7ae7backed Yes | 4c | 16,076$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,221$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?this page
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?No won
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No won
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes won
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.